Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 11.702511 13.054439 14.513985 16.209209 18.126995 20.232670 22.724365
2025-06-22 9.568226 11.360860 13.434025 16.018093 19.165491 22.890618 27.657244
2025-06-29 7.892903 9.891307 12.345064 15.600137 19.835497 25.201242 32.579804
2025-07-06 6.691962 8.800718 11.533185 15.369484 20.674176 27.834932 38.376073
2025-07-13 5.988731 8.236703 11.299744 15.836769 22.485660 32.028540 47.045992
2025-07-20 5.413882 7.757070 11.100697 16.305720 24.360654 36.613851 57.174032
2025-07-27 4.869408 7.239582 10.766415 16.512486 25.864510 40.885990 67.670060
2025-08-03 4.322588 6.641880 10.224953 16.307927 26.673972 44.179130 77.209431
2025-08-10 3.851962 6.099366 9.692801 16.029706 27.300696 47.250908 86.974641
2025-08-17 3.452941 5.620918 9.199204 15.736624 27.840522 50.240060 97.193780
2025-08-24 3.130901 5.230619 8.801371 15.547420 28.525460 53.593584 108.834132
2025-08-31 2.879050 4.930248 8.519606 15.523203 29.506571 57.670690 122.871088
2025-09-07 2.716815 4.775344 8.488171 15.986167 31.565561 64.397614 144.614857
2025-09-14 2.491879 4.481510 8.167096 15.840801 32.363744 68.634078 161.709781
2025-09-21 2.265189 4.159819 7.756094 15.457077 32.594855 71.673368 176.696825
2025-09-28 2.085049 3.907609 7.450412 15.248787 33.177652 75.635320 195.152637
2025-10-05 1.994620 3.820990 7.463823 15.726456 35.412342 84.016732 228.086706
2025-10-12 1.911036 3.738754 7.475859 16.202212 37.728793 93.102202 265.869727
2025-10-19 1.810975 3.611921 7.379126 16.414912 39.436758 100.972572 302.496669
2025-10-26 1.686486 3.421132 7.123297 16.216782 40.062767 106.034577 331.777225
2025-11-02 1.568265 3.232332 6.851653 15.943770 40.447838 110.509596 360.608673
2025-11-09 1.460013 3.055125 6.587612 15.654813 40.744407 114.805172 390.333441
2025-11-16 1.368581 2.906858 6.374728 15.468342 41.301019 120.033730 425.440359